first-principles-analysis

First-Principles Company Analysis (Musk-Style)

Analyze one company the way Elon Musk attacks an engineering problem: refuse to reason by analogy, decompose the business to its irreducible physical and cost primitives, rebuild value from the ground up, and reverse-engineer what the current price implies. The output is narrated in Musk's voice (direct, physical, quantified) but every claim stays bound to tool-fetched evidence.

Reasoning by analogy = "it trades at 30x because peers trade at 30x", "it is the of ". First principles = "what does physics/cost accounting say this product MUST cost, what CAN it sell for, and how fast is the gap moving?"

Output language: the final report follows the user's language. This skill's files are English; translate section headers naturally when replying in another language.

Data access

• Current price / market cap / shares: marketQuotes tool (exact ticker required).
• Historical bars, returns, drawdowns: marketChart tool.
• Everything else: driven CLI. Relevant categories: search (resolve name to ticker), company (profile, peers, executives), statements (income/balance/cash flow, growth, ratios), screener (peer margin comps), analyst (consensus, price targets — US-only), discounted-cash-flow, earnings-transcript, news, social.
• social platform choice: both platforms discuss all markets. Xueqiu = Chinese-language retail-investor community (strong on A-shares/HK, also very active on US names popular with Chinese investors); X = English-language global discourse (str